Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.009791 0.011629 0.013867 0.016843 0.020776 0.025914 0.033349
2025-08-24 0.007160 0.009163 0.011885 0.016004 0.022381 0.032468 0.051113
2025-08-31 0.006063 0.008162 0.011241 0.016371 0.025376 0.042203 0.081791
2025-09-07 0.005161 0.007186 0.010314 0.015889 0.026641 0.049611 0.116804
2025-09-14 0.004470 0.006379 0.009445 0.015205 0.027183 0.055877 0.159144
2025-09-21 0.004047 0.005915 0.009030 0.015197 0.029069 0.066766 0.242060
2025-09-28 0.003811 0.005711 0.009008 0.015920 0.032921 0.086799 0.447282
2025-10-05 0.003703 0.005701 0.009324 0.017423 0.039567 0.125121 1.159736
2025-10-12 0.003508 0.005509 0.009258 0.018064 0.044275 0.164832 3.136509
2025-10-19 0.003250 0.005169 0.008845 0.017770 0.045962 0.193798 7.938326
2025-10-26 0.003066 0.004947 0.008635 0.017932 0.049387 0.243583 47.682197
2025-11-02 0.002867 0.004674 0.008281 0.017633 0.051005 0.287099 1590.992722
2025-11-09 0.002609 0.004283 0.007667 0.016618 0.049806 0.310286 NaN
2025-11-16 0.002389 0.003951 0.007147 0.015774 0.049060 0.341803 NaN
2025-11-23 0.002279 0.003822 0.007054 0.016132 0.054094 0.483016 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002128 0.003596 0.006712 0.015660 0.054867 0.574889 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001980 0.003365 0.006332 0.014989 0.054237 0.644523 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001887 0.003235 0.006172 0.014981 0.057407 0.870605 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001840 0.003197 0.006225 0.015690 0.065766 1.559415 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001830 0.003237 0.006472 0.017163 0.081775 4.523117 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001780 0.003185 0.006481 0.017791 0.092954 12.395497 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001697 0.003053 0.006267 0.017503 0.095943 23.925947 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001637 0.002968 0.006169 0.017662 0.103874 100.449928 NaN